SECTION III - SPORTS AND PHYSICAL ACTIVITY / RESEARCH PAPER
Early Success is not a Prerequisite for Success at the Adult Age in Spanish Sprinters
 
More details
Hide details
1
Sports Training Laboratory, Faculty of Sports Sciences, University of Castilla La Mancha, Toledo, Spain
 
 
Submission date: 2023-01-24
 
 
Acceptance date: 2023-04-12
 
 
Online publication date: 2023-07-06
 
 
Corresponding author
Aaron Agudo-Ortega   

Sports Training Laboratory, Faculty of Sports Sciences, University of Castilla La Mancha, Av. Carlos III, 45007, Toledo, Spain
 
 
Journal of Human Kinetics 2023;89:139–148
 
KEYWORDS
TOPICS
ABSTRACT
The aim of the study was to describe the relationship between success in junior and senior categories in sprint events. An observational and longitudinal analysis was carried out using rankings of the Royal Spanish Athletics Federation database. We analysed 547 sprinters (238 women and 309 men) from their U14 to senior stage who ranked in top-20 on at least one occasion during the period 2004 to 2021. The first entry in top-20 occurred mostly in U14 (44.4%, 243), and the frequency was progressively lower: 26.7% (146) in U16; 20.8% (114) in U18; 5.1% (28) in U20; 2% (11) in U23; and 0.9% (5) in the senior category. A similar tendency was observed in male and female athletes. Only 3.8% (9) of top-20 U14 athletes reached the senior elite stage, increasing this percentage in subsequent categories: 7.4% (15) in U16; 10.6% (24) in U18; 20.9% (32) in U20, and 31.4% (32) from U23 to the senior category. Data from female athletes showed higher maintenance of top-20 status from early categories to senior age. We conclude that even though the first entry into the national top-20 in sprint events occurs early in most cases, success in these initial stages is not a prerequisite for reaching top-20 positions in the senior category.
 
REFERENCES (44)
1.
Baker, J., & Young, B.W. (2014). 20 years later: Deliberate practice and the development of expertise in sport. International Review of Sport & Exercise Psychology, 7(1), 135–157. https://doi.org/10.1080/175098....
 
2.
Barreiros, A., Côté, J., & Fonseca, A. M. (2014). From early to adult sport success: analysing athletes' progression in national squads. European Journal of Sport Science, 14(1), 178–182. https://doi.org/10.1080/174613....
 
3.
Barth, M., Güllich, A., Macnamara, B. N., & Hambrick, D. Z. (2022). Predictors of Junior Versus Senior Elite Performance are Opposite: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of Participation Patterns. Sports Medicine, 52(6), 1399–1416. https://doi.org/10.1007/s40279....
 
4.
Bergeron, M. F., Mountjoy, M., Armstrong, N., Chia, M., Côté, J., Emery, C. A., Faigenbaum, A., Hall, G., Jr., Kriemler, S., Léglise, M., Malina, R. M., Pensgaard, A. M., Sanchez, A., Soligard, T., Sundgot-Borgen, J., van Mechelen, W., Weissensteiner, J. R., & Engebretsen, L. (2015). International Olympic Committee consensus statement on youth athletic development. British Journal of Sports Medicine, 49(13), 843–851. https://doi.org/10.1136/bjspor....
 
5.
Bezuglov, E., Emanov, A., Waśkiewicz, Z., Semeniuk, N., Butovsky, M., Shoshorina, M., Baranova, D., Volodina, K., & Morgans, R. (2022). Successful Young Athletes Have Low Probability of Being Ranked Among the Best Senior Athletes, but This Is Higher When Compared to Their Less Successful Peers. Frontiers in Psychology, 13, 1–9. https://doi.org/10.3389/fpsyg.....
 
6.
Boccia, G., Brustio, P. R., Moisè, P., Franceschi, A., La Torre, A., Schena, F., Rainoldi, A., & Cardinale, M. (2019). Elite national athletes reach their peak performance later than non-elite in sprints and throwing events. Journal of Science and Medicine in Sport, 22(3), 342–347. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jsam....
 
7.
Boccia, G., Cardinale, M., & Brustio, P. R. (2020). World-Class Sprinters' Careers: Early Success Does Not Guarantee Success at Adult Age. International Journal of Sports Physiology and Performance, 16(3), 367–374. https://doi.org/10.1123/ijspp.....
 
8.
Boccia, G., Cardinale, M., & Brustio, P. R. (2021). Performance progression of elite jumpers: Early performances do not predict later success. Scandinavian Journal of Medicine & Science in Sports, 31(1), 132–139. https://doi.org/10.1111/sms.13....
 
9.
Boccia, G., Moisè, P., Franceschi, A., Trova, F., Panero, D., La Torre, A., Rainoldi, A., Schena, F., & Cardinale, M. (2017). Career Performance Trajectories in Track and Field Jumping Events from Youth to Senior Success: The Importance of Learning and Development. PLoS One, 12(1), 1–15. https://doi.org/10.1371/journa....
 
10.
Brazo-Sayavera, J., Martínez-Valencia, M. A., Müller, L., Andronikos, G., & Martindale, R. J. J. (2017). Identifying talented track and field athletes: The impact of relative age effect on selection to the Spanish National Athletics Federation training camps. Journal of Sports Sciences, 35(22), 2172–2178. https://doi.org/10.1080/026404....
 
11.
Brooks, M. A., Post, E. G., Trigsted, S. M., Schaefer, D. A., Wichman, D. M., Watson, A. M., McGuine, T. A., & Bell, D. R. (2018). Knowledge, Attitudes, and Beliefs of Youth Club Athletes Toward Sport Specialization and Sport Participation. Orthopaedic Journal of Sports Medicine, 6(5), 1–8. https://doi.org/10.1177/232596....
 
12.
Brustio, P. R., Cardinale, M., Lupo, C., Varalda, M., De Pasquale, P., & Boccia, G. (2021). Being a top swimmer during the early career is not a prerequisite for success: A study on sprinter strokes. Journal of Science and Medicine in Sport, 24(12), 1272–1277. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jsam....
 
13.
Cesanelli, L., Ylaitė, B., Calleja Gonzalez, J., Leite, N., Iovane, A., & Messina, G. (2021). Transition from Youth Categories to Élite Cycling: Relationships Between Early Career Performance and UCI World Tour Success. Journal of Sports Medicine and Physical Fitness, 62(12), 1577–83. https://doi.org/10.23736/S0022....
 
14.
Cuba-Dorado, A., Garcia-Garcia, O., Morales-Sánchez, V., & Hernández-Mendo, A. (2020). The Explanatory Capacity of Talent Identification Tests for Performance in Triathlon Competitions: A Longitudinal Analysis. Journal of Human Kinetics, 75, 185–193. https://doi.org/10.2478/hukin-....
 
15.
Dobosz, J., Mayorga-Vega, D., & Viciana, J. (2015). Percentile Values of Physical Fitness Levels among Polish Children Aged 7 to 19 Years--a Population-Based Study. Central European Journal of Public Health, 23(4), 340–351. https://doi.org/10.21101/cejph....
 
16.
Durandt, J., Parker, Z., Masimla, H., & Lambert, M. (2011). Rugby-playing history at the national U13 level and subsequent participation at the national U16 and U18 rugby tournaments. South African Journal of Sports Medicine, 23(4), 103–105. https://doi.org/10.17159/2078-....
 
17.
Ericsson, K. A. (2008). Deliberate practice and acquisition of expert performance: a general overview. Academic Emergency Medicine, 15(11), 988–994. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1553....
 
18.
Feeley, B. T., Agel, J., & LaPrade, R. F. (2016). When Is It Too Early for Single Sport Specialization? American Journal of Sports Medicine, 44(1), 234–241. https://doi.org/10.1177/036354....
 
19.
Güllich, A. (2017). International medallists' and non-medallists' developmental sport activities - a matched-pairs analysis. Journal of Sports Sciences, 35(23), 2281–2288. https://doi.org/10.1080/026404....
 
20.
Güllich, A., Macnamara, B. N., & Hambrick, D. Z. (2022). What Makes a Champion? Early Multidisciplinary Practice, Not Early Specialization, Predicts World-Class Performance. Perspectives on Psychological Science, 17(1), 6–29. https://doi.org/10.1177/174569....
 
21.
Jayanthi, N. A., Post, E. G., Laury, T. C., & Fabricant, P. D. (2019). Health Consequences of Youth Sport Specialization. Journal of Athletic Training, 54(10), 1040–1049. https://doi.org/10.4085/1062-6....
 
22.
Johnston, K., Farah, L., & Baker, J. (2021). Storm Clouds on the Horizon: On the Emerging Need to Tighten Selection Policies. Frontiers in Sports and Active Living, 3, 1–6. https://doi.org/10.3389/fspor.....
 
23.
Kearney, P., Hayes, P., & Nevill, A. (2018). Faster, higher, stronger, older: Relative age effects are most influential during the youngest age grade of track and field athletics in the United Kingdom. Journal of Sports Sciences, 36, 1–7. https://doi.org/10.1080/026404....
 
24.
Kearney, P. E., Comyns, T. M., & Hayes, P. R. (2020). Coaches and parents hold contrasting perceptions of optimal youth development activities in track and field athletics. International Journal of Sports Science & Coaching, 15(2), 157–169. https://doi.org/10.1177/174795....
 
25.
Kearney, P. E., & Hayes, P. R. (2018). Excelling at youth level in competitive track and field athletics is not a prerequisite for later success. Journal of Sports Sciences, 36(21), 2502–2509. https://doi.org/10.1080/026404....
 
26.
Kliethermes, S. A., Nagle, K., Côté, J., Malina, R. M., Faigenbaum, A., Watson, A., Feeley, B., Marshall, S. W., LaBella, C. R., Herman, D. C., Tenforde, A., Beutler, A. I., & Jayanthi, N. (2020). Impact of youth sports specialisation on career and task-specific athletic performance: a systematic review following the American Medical Society for Sports Medicine (AMSSM) Collaborative Research Network's 2019 Youth Early Sport Specialisation Summit. British Journal of Sports Medicine., 54(4), 221–230. https://doi.org/10.1136/bjspor....
 
27.
Li, P., De Bosscher, V., Pion, J., Weissensteiner, J. R., & Vertonghen, J. (2018). Is international junior success a reliable predictor for international senior success in elite combat sports? European Journal of Sport Science, 18(4), 550–559. https://doi.org/10.1080/174613....
 
28.
Macnamara, B. N., Hambrick, D. Z., & Oswald, F. L. (2014). Deliberate practice and performance in music, games, sports, education, and professions: a meta-analysis. Psychological Science, 25(8), 1608–1618. https://doi.org/10.1177/095679....
 
29.
Malina, R., Sławinska, T., Ignasiak, Z., Rożek-Piechura, K., Kochan, K., Domaradzki, J., & Fugiel, J. (2010). Sex Differences in Growth and Performance of Track and Field Athletes 11-15 Years. Journal of Human Kinetics, 24, 79–85. https://doi.org/10.2478/v10078....
 
30.
Malina, R. M. (2014). Top 10 research questions related to growth and maturation of relevance to physical activity, performance, and fitness. Research Quarterly for Exercise and Sport, 85(2), 157–173. https://doi.org/10.1080/027013....
 
31.
McCarthy, N., & Collins, D. (2014). Initial identification & selection bias versus the eventual confirmation of talent: evidence for the benefits of a rocky road? Journal of Sports Sciences, 32(17), 1604–1610. https://doi.org/10.1080/026404....
 
32.
McCarthy, N., Taylor, J., Cruickshank, A., & Collins, D. (2022). Happy Birthday? Relative Age Benefits and Decrements on the Rocky Road. Sports, 10(6), 1–16. https://doi.org/10.3390/sports....
 
33.
Moesch, K., Elbe, A. M., Hauge, M. L., & Wikman, J. M. (2011). Late specialization: the key to success in centimeters, grams, or seconds (cgs) sports. Scandinavian Journal of Medicine & Science in Sports, 21(6), 282–290. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1600....
 
34.
Mosher, A., Fraser-Thomas, J., & Baker, J. (2020). What Defines Early Specialization: A Systematic Review of Literature. Frontiers in Sports and Active Living, 2, 1–23. https://doi.org/10.3389/fspor.....
 
35.
Pizzuto, F., Bonato, M., Vernillo, G., La Torre, A., & Piacentini, M. F. (2017). Are the World Junior Championship Finalists for Middle- and Long-Distance Events Currently Competing at International Level? International Journal of Sports Physiology and Performance, 12(3), 316–321. https://doi.org/10.1123/ijspp.....
 
36.
Siembida, P., Zawadka, M., & Gawda, P. (2021). The relationship between vertical jump performance during different training periods and results of 200m-sprint. Balt J Health Phys Activ, 13(3), 1-9. https://doi.org/10.29359/BJHPA....
 
37.
Storm, L., Henriksen, K., & Christensen, M. (2012). Specialization pathways among Danish elite athletes: A look at the developmental model of sport participation from a cultural perspective. International Journal of Sport Psychology, 43(3), 199–222.
 
38.
Suppiah, H. T., Low, C. Y., & Chia, M. (2015). Detecting and developing youth athlete potential: different strokes for different folks are warranted. British Journal of Sports Medicine., 49(13), 878–882. https://doi.org/10.1136/bjspor....
 
39.
Thomas, C. E., Chambers, T. P., Main, L. C., & Gastin, P. B. (2019). Factors Influencing the Early Development of World-Class Caribbean Track and Field Athletes: A Qualitative Investigation. Journal of Sports Science and Medicine., 18(4), 758–771.
 
40.
Till, K., & Baker, J. (2020). Challenges and [Possible] Solutions to Optimizing Talent Identification and Development in Sport. Frontiers in Psychology, 11, 1–14. https://doi.org/10.3389/fpsyg.....
 
41.
Tønnessen, E., Svendsen, I. S., Olsen, I. C., Guttormsen, A., & Haugen, T. (2015). Performance development in adolescent track and field athletes according to age, sex and sport discipline. PLoS One, 10(6), 1–10. https://doi.org/10.1371/journa....
 
42.
Vaeyens, R., Güllich, A., Warr, C. R., & Philippaerts, R. (2009). Talent identification and promotion programmes of Olympic athletes. Journal of Sports Sciences, 27(13), 1367–1380. https://doi.org/10.1080/026404....
 
43.
van Rens, F. E., Elling, A., & Reijgersberg, N. (2015). Topsport Talent Schools in the Netherlands: A retrospective analysis of the effect on performance in sport and education. International Review for the Sociology of Sport, 50(1), 64–82. https://doi.org/10.1177/101269....
 
44.
Yustres, I., Del Cerro, J. S., Psycharakis, S., González-Mohíno, F., & González-Ravé, J. M. (2021). Swimming World Championships: Association between Success at the Junior and Senior Level for British Swimmers. International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, 18(3), 1–8. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph....
 
eISSN:1899-7562
ISSN:1640-5544